Circular analysis in complex stochastic systems
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Circular analysis in complex stochastic systems
Ruling out observations can lead to wrong models. This danger occurs unwillingly when one selects observations, experiments, simulations or time-series based on their outcome. In stochastic processes, conditioning on the future outcome biases all local transition probabilities and makes them consistent with the selected outcome. This circular self-consistency leads to models that are inconsiste...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Scientific Reports
سال: 2015
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep17986